The Xbox Scorpio May Be Extremely Powerful- But Don’t Expect It To Turn The Tides For Xbox Against PS4

GamingBolt’s Pramath Parijat explains why this is the case.

Posted By | On 15th, Apr. 2017 Under Article, Editorials | Follow This Author @Pramath1605


The Xbox One Scorpio looks to be a wonderful overhaul of Microsoft’s console, a reworking of all the internals that addresses the numerous perceived flaws that apparently held the original system back. However, no matter how great the Scorpio may be as a hardware, the truth of the matter is that anyone who expects it to change the tides of the console war, or sell in any significant degree, is ultimately being dishonest with themselves- the Scorpio, for all its merits as hardware, is not going to sell so much that it will impact the current console cycle competition. And this is something that Microsoft knows.

The primary reason for the Scorpio’s predicted lack of market appeal will be the lack of exclusives- there will be no killer game that anyone has to get a Scorpio to play. Your existing consoles, even your existing Xbox One console, will play any game hitting the Scorpio just fine. The Scorpio’s killer app so to say is its ability to play most Xbox One games in 4K natively with improved graphical effects- with this, Scorpio can boast of having the best versions of all multiplatform games. This, however, is unlikely to be enough to push the Scorpio’s sales.

A lot of people like to point at the PS4’s success in the first couple of years or so that it was on the market as proof that performance of multiplatform games is enough to make or break a console’s fate on the market. After all, the PS4’s lineup of exclusives was rather slim for the longest time, and it still sold. Why can the same not apply to the Scorpio, too?

"Scorpio can boast of having the best versions of all multiplatform games. This, however, is unlikely to be enough to push the Scorpio’s sales."

This argument ignores the biggest reason the PS4 sold as well as it did- it was a cheaper product marketed as superior (thanks to the better specs), with perfect marketing, laser focused messaging, and its competitor completely fumbling the ball in every regard. Most of these will not hold true for Scorpio- while it is definitely more powerful, and its marketing is likely to be better than the marketing the Xbox One got, it will definitely be more expensive (Phil Spencer has referenced it as a ‘premium’ offering multiple times), and the PS4, far from fumbling the ball, is currently having its best year ever, with multiple high quality exclusives having hit it just three months into the year. Add to this the fact that the Scorpio will also have to fight incumbency inertia – most people who are buying consoles now are buying the ones their friends already own, and more people own PS4 than Xbox One in any part of the world, leading to more sales for PS4 as a result – and you see why it has an uphill climb ahead of it.

Precedence has shown us multiple times that simply having better versions of multiplatform games seldom sells consoles- the PS2 had far worse versions of multiplatform titles than GameCube and Xbox, and it outsold both of them put together by almost a magnitude of multiple times. The PS4 Pro currently has the best versions of all multiplatform games on consoles, and sales for it have been lukewarm at best. PC routinely has the best looking, most flexible versions of multiplatform games- and yet the console market continues to exist, because performance alone does not matter. Pricing, messaging, marketing, and exclusive games matter too. While Scorpio has two of those down, it is unlikely to fare well on the other two fronts.

Having exclusives, or being a proper next generation system, would both have ensured that the Scorpio would have an easier time of things- not only would it have sidestepped competition with a console with an install base of almost 60 million units (since by then it would be perceived to be in its own category- possibly one of the reasons the Switch is doing as well as it is), but it would also have had some must have experiences that would have necessitated a purchase of the system. In that case, even a higher cost would not have been an impediment- people will spend money to play a compelling game. Look at how well the Nintendo Switch has done on the back of nothing but The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild.

"The Scorpio would have sidestepped this problem with a compelling exclusive- look at how well the Nintendo Switch has done on the back of nothing but The Legend of Zelda: Breath of the Wild."

The truth of the matter is that even Microsoft recognizes that the Scorpio will not outsell the Xbox One – Xbox boss Phil Spencer has essentially said as much in statements before, noting that the Scorpio is expected to be targeted at a “premium” segment of the market, while the Xbox One S will remain Microsoft’s main mass market mover. This is something Spencer has already conceded to IGN before.

“I call it a premium console because I want people to be clear that the customer we’re building that for is the premium gaming customer,” he said. “The person who buys the majority of the games, the person who’s playing the most games, spending the most hours, spending the most dollars. It’s like our Elite controller. I call that a premium controller.

“I’m not trying to scare anybody on the price. We’re going to come out on a price that we think is fair for the product that we build and the customers will tell us as they always do. I call it premium because I don’t want people to get confused that somehow Scorpio is the thing that is going to take over the Xbox line. The majority of the consoles that we’re going to sell are the Xbox One S and I’m very proud of that,” Spencer said.

The Scorpio is going to be an excellent machine, and it will definitely be the most sophisticated console on the market when it releases later this year- but those expecting it to turn the tide for the Xbox One against the PS4 may be setting themselves for disappointment.

Note: The views expressed in this article are those of the author and do not necessarily represent the views of, and should not be attributed to, GamingBolt as an organization.


Awesome Stuff that you might be interested in

  • Cenk Algu

    No it will just destroy Sony.

    • Cypher-Unknown

      Haha! Your fanboy is showing, cueball.

  • Holeybartender

    Xbox fanboy’s wet dream-Scorpio will sell 30 million consoles in 2018 while PS4’s sales comes to a stand still just so Microsoft can catch-up.

    • DA-ROOSTER

      Sales numbers means everything to the PlayStation fanboys if the PS4 didn’t have the lead their lives would be meaningless

    • crazy_black_man-

      Now Rooster you know if the shoe was on the other foot… Lets just be honest bruh.

    • Holeybartender

      Whatever.Don’t try to downplay it don’t matter,just because Microsoft was poor losers and refused to release any more sales numbers after 10 million doesn’t mean Xbox fanboy care any less about sales numbers. Where was this “I don’t care about sales numbers” attitude from Xbots during that 10 million,huh? Now instead of sales numbers it’s who wins the NPD for the month.

    • Dougdec92

      And xboxlive numbers

    • Holeybartender

      And combining Xbox 360 sales together with Xbox One’s numbers.

    • Mark

      Lol

    • Dougdec92

      Lol

    • jt3z

      As an owner of both consoles(PS4 pro/Xbox1) as well as PC i gotta say these comments are downright moronic. As a consumer you should want the other side to do well as then it will force both sides to innovate.

    • greatnessIsaLIE

      Sales won’t matter to them when they are playing the superior versions of games. The Scorpio isn’t to close the gap but to win back the install base it lost so that next Gen they have momentum. This Gen is lost but if they can make Sony look bad for a few years then the casual will want to wait for the next Xbox that’ll be more powerful than the ps5.

  • Holeybartender

    I can’t wait to play Red Dead 2…on my Day One PS4.

    • Learned Handgun

      Couldn’t afford the Pro and a 4k TV?

    • Holeybartender

      I have a 4k tv and I’m fine with the upscaling. I don’t see the point of buying the Pro when I already bought a PS4. I had no intention of buying a Pro back when it was just a rumor and I’ve had my 4k tv since that time. I’d rather wait for PS5 when 4k hits it’s stride.

    • Eddie Battikha

      Ya there’s nothing wrong with that, Fall 2019 is PlayStations 25th Anniversary. PS5 will launch that Fall it’ll be. A Beastly 4k gaming Console.

    • DA-ROOSTER

      PS5 2020 or 2021
      Sony gonna ride the PS4’s sales success until the wheels fall off

    • crazy_black_man-

      Yes they will.

    • Eddie Battikha

      Exciting times ahead well see how it all goes.

    • Somebodysomewhere

      No way will Sony release PS5 in 2019. Da-Rooster is correct, it’ll be either 2020 or 2021.

    • Eddie Battikha

      If u think 8gb of ram and a jaguar Cpu will last till 2020 or 2021 that’s ur opinion. Well see how things go in the next year.

    • Somebodysomewhere

      It won’t last, like the PS4 Pro is already underpowered. They should have released it with better specs, closer to Scorpio specs.

      Sony will just ride the wave for as long as possible, around the time that Xbox One (Scorpio) sales close the gap to an uncomfortable amount, then they’ll release PS5 and dominate once more.

    • Eddie Battikha

      I think Sony is switching to a 3 year hardware refresh cycle, this way technology isn’t held back and evolution will continue. PS5 Fall 2019 is perfect as PS4 came out Fall 2013 thats a normal 6 year Console Gap.

    • Yeah maybe there will be a PS5 in 2019..

      I think if Xbox releases another console after Scorpio, like the Scorpio 2 or something then Sony will definitely have to respond with a new console.

      Sony can’t afford to be behind by 2 generations regarding hardware to Microsoft.. imagine this:

      Scorpio vs. PS4 Pro – 2017
      Scorpio2 vs. PS4 Pro -2018
      Scorpio3 vs. PS5 – 2019

      The only way xbox can beat sony is by releasing two console generations within the next 3 years, because then they will truely be ahead of sony in terms of hardware.

      Sony needs to wise up real quick regarding the PS5, i hope they seriousy release a PS5 in 2018.

    • I have a 4k tv and the ps4 pro is worth it. I sold my ps4 and got the pro but yeah u dont need to have one if ur happy with yours.

      The games just perform a little better on the ps4 pro.. thats what i like about the pro.

    • Eddie Battikha

      I’ve been enjoying my PS4 Pro on my LGB6 since launch.

    • Mark

      U no wanna play at 4k holmes?

    • Holeybartender

      I already am.

  • kee1haul

    Has he ever written anything good about Xbox?

    • Eddie Battikha

      And u keep coming back LMFAO

    • kee1haul

      yer ma keeps coming back.

  • Eddie Battikha

    He told it how it is

  • DA-ROOSTER

    I wasn’t expecting the Xbox Scorpio to miraculously give Microsoft the console market lead over Sony but what i am expecting is the Xbox Scorpio to be more powerful than the PS4 PRO and to deliver true 4K gaming and going by the in-depth Scorpio tech analysis the Xbox Scorpio will succeed

    • crazy_black_man-

      Fair enough.

    • Mr Xrat

      “True 4K” is a marketing phrase, Kirk. It either is 4K or it isn’t. I suppose you can use the marketing phrase to make everything better when most games aren’t.

  • crazy_black_man-

    Great article Chaz. Keep up the good work.

  • jacksjus

    As far as his premium pricing goes. Why does MS want to release the Scorpio knowing that it won’t outsell the XBox One S?

    Although this is the same case for Sony at least their approach made the Pro affordable by having it take over the price of the OG PS4.

    • crazy_black_man-

      It seems like they’re also targeting the PC crowd with Scorpio to cut in on Steam’s revenue stream. They want to compete on both platforms, instead of just moving their Xbox One exclusives to PC.

    • jacksjus

      Yeah but wouldn’t it be considered a downgrade for the PC crowd?

    • Somebodysomewhere

      Only a downgrade to the elite, super high end PC crowd. I think that’s about 5-10% of the entire PC crowd.

    • jt3z

      Exactly people act like every PC gamer his rolling at 4k when only a small % do(Sure there are a lot who like more fps than more rez but still). Plus this thing is quite nicely future proof with HDmi 2.1 and VRR in it. If MS wants this to sell well they need to sell it no more than 500$.

    • Millicentmcrotts

      Managing director of Google!, is explaining to users to start off “Work at home” method, that People have been doing for about one year now. These days alone, I generated close to $36,000 until now with no more than my home computer as well as some spare time, despite that i have a fulltime 9 to 5 job. Even everyone not used to this, can make $89/per h easily and the earnings can go even higher over time… This is how i started
      !wr411c:
      ➽➽
      ➽➽➽➽ http://GoogleFinancialCashJobs411BuzzDaily/GetPaid$97/Hour ★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫★✫★★✫:::!wr411u:……..

    • crazy_black_man-

      I would think so.

    • Dougdec92

      My thoughts exactly, MS had some good moments when they stopped competing with Sony(they won’t win) and concentrated on their install base

    • Mark

      It’s about resetting perception for the next go round, so that Sony won’t take the “core” gamers by default

    • greatnessIsaLIE

      They aren’t going to put out a crap product. They are doing their best to make sure that it is great. Even if it doesn’t sell well people will know that the Xbox is the best console when it comes to performance. They need the fans and casuals behind them going into the next generation. They need to give people the confidence to skip the ps5 and wait a year for the more powerful console. If their is a big difference in visuals and performance between the pro and scorpio then it’ll make it easier to believe that the next Xbox will be better than the ps5.

      It’s basically a hype killer for the next gen. Yes the ps4 pro is amazing but the Scorpio is a better console. Yes the ps5 is going to be amazing but the new Xbox will be a better console.
      That’s just what I think

  • Mavericks

    Pramath is a joke.

    I’m not saying Xbox Scorpio wilk outsell PS, but any article coming from a Sony fan is biased.

  • Wait until E3, geezus christ, y’all harping like MS hasn’t shipped at least 4-5 exclusives every single calendar year…

  • I don’t think MS will catch up, but I think they can close the gap to 10-20M easily, which I would take as good enough. Next gen, they’ve proven they learned their lesson with XB1 and will drive on the same strengths that made 360 and Scorpio winning boxes…

  • Graeme Willy

    The Xbox Scorpio has admirable specs, but the software for it sucks. This, from a former Xbox fan, and owner of all previous Xbox consoles…in addition to the Playstation ones, too lol. Historically, Xbox was my go-to. But they ruined Halo after Bungie, Gears of War 4 has gone down the same path. They should Call GoW 4 GoW 1 – Reboot, since they basically re-resurrected the Locus and renamed them.
    Re-Core, tough, seemingly looked to be a Horizon Zero Dawn contender was bailed on and released unfinished and as a result sucked. They canceled Fable, canceled Scalebound, though, admittedly it never looked good in the first place…no amount of 6 Teraflops is going to fix that repairable damage. Microsoft has no sense of authenticity, and are completely out of touch when it comes to entertainment. Sony, however, publishes movies and has been in the game on the entertainment front for ages.

    I’m not saying I’m not going to buy a Scorpio, as you can still get it for quality 4K on multiplatform titles, however, I’m going to put affording a new gaming PC rig way before it.

    • Me too i am buying a monster PC rig for VR.

  • Tga215

    Just wait till e3 then write articles I think Microsoft learned from there mistakes

  • Cenk Algu

    this is your only consolation but wont work.

    • Eddie Battikha

      I tell it how it is, Xbox sales are horrible outside America, No doubt Scorpio will move up sales ,but the damage has been already done. Its too hard to get out of the Dark Hole they’ve been in.

    • PorHawj2016

      yeah xbox one sale is very horrible in Europe, other countries and Japan.. it sold about at least 80,000 in Japan.. LMFAO.. PS4 sold about 480,000 units in Japan and sold about 23 millions units in Europe

    • Cenk Algu

      Everybody waiting for Scorpio here in Germany stop crying.

  • Edonus

    It won’t turn the tides while the bias gaming media keeps selling the idea to people that it won’t change the tides.
    How about focusing on the Scorpio is the most powerful gaming console and will be the only full fledged 4k media device available so if you have or plan on getting a 4k TV it just makes sense.

    • Mr Xrat

      All that power and no games.

    • Edonus

      Yeah because it seems all the game developers have died…… So MS can never ever make another game again….. Even with all the money they have no one wants to work as a game developer anymore.

      Oh…… And not to mention the last three years of games games games must no longer be available and the 3-4 games coming out this year don’t count either.

      Reality is that Sea of thieves and Crackdown 3 have more innovation than Ps4s entire library put together……. They don’t even have dedicated servers for their big games. A real gamer will enjoy playing a well support Sea of thieves for months to a year…….. Any gamer with a brain and enough time could beat their entire 1st quarter line up in a month…… All one offs… nothing with replay value.

    • Gamez Rule

      “Reality is that Sea of thieves and Crackdown 3 have more innovation than Ps4s entire library put together.”

      When are these games getting released?

    • Edonus

      Whenever they do come out they will have more innovation than Ps4s entire library…… But they have been hinted at releasing this year…. one will probably be for the holiday season at least.

    • Mr Xrat

      Sea of Thieves? Please. Blackwave looks better and more fun and it’s
      an Kickstarter indie game. Crackdown 3? When’s that getting out of
      development h*ll? Maybe they can enlist another studio to work on it so it comes out this year.

      Funny how Xgimps think they can decide what replayability is too. Newsflash: your boring grindfest online fee justifiers aren’t that.

    • Fweds

      Your going into overload over the new Xbox, you seriously need to take a step back

    • Fweds

      What games are you comparing to? A few niche titles that have come out on PS4 finally, or multi format titles that will run far better on Scorpio ?

  • Dougdec92

    Pramath, I agree with you a 100%, it won’t be long when Phil hits us with Xbox live success stories again.

  • Mr Xrat

    Another dose of reality for the Xgimps.

    Funny how you losers never really understood why you were such a laughing stock four years ago.

  • PorHawj2016

    Xbox 350 was leading in sales and games then PS3 came back to lead in sales before PS4 and xbox one came out

  • Omar

    I wonder if Scorpio will come with the Elite controller. If it does at a decent price, I can see more of an appeal.

  • Gamez Rule

    Have you heard about the *WinPDFReader* App on Xbox One store?

    It allows PS1 games to be played on Xbone via emulator. Wonder is MS and Sony knows this… We will soon see if it gets removed.

    http://n4g.com/news/2044929/playstation-1-psx-emulator-is-now-available-for-xbox-one

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-Dl_W3v7NW8

    • Eddie Battikha

      Nice, we’ll see how long that lasts.


 

Copyright © 2009-2017 GamingBolt.com. All Rights Reserved.