Nintendo NX May Reach 30 Million Install Base

Pachter doesn’t believe Nintendo will leave the console business altogether even if it doesn’t hit that mark.

Posted By | On 22nd, Nov. 2015 Under News

nintendo nx

Video games industry analyst Michael Pachter has been doing quite a bit of talking about what he thinks the Nintendo NX should do in order to make sure it has a brighter future than the Nintendo Wii U has had. It also seems as though Pachter believes the future might actually be bright, as the analyst has recently said that the new console could actually hit the 30 million install base mark.

He added that the console has a bit of a tough road to hoe, especially considering that the PS4 and the Xbox One have such a jump on the next generation console. Talking on Siftd‘s newest Pachter Factor episode, he laid out his feelings about the chance for success for the Nintendo NX. He also said that even if there is a misstep when it comes to Nintendo just moving to be a third party publisher, he doesn’t see that move in the cards.

“I would say modest potential that it bombs. I would give them a 60 percent chance of success, I think they are smart people, I think they have learned a lot from what they did wrong with the Wii U. Are they going to get the Wii magic back? Probably not. But if they go back to a conventional-like console, their only problem they have now is they are very late in the cycle so they’re not going to sell that many. Could they sell 30 million? Sure. They could sell enough to make a difference and make a profit. They’re not getting out of the handheld business until the sales drop to zero – three or four million a year. And that is probably five, seven or eight years out. So no, they’re not going to get out of hardware.”

Thanks, Nintendo Insider.

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  • HoistDude

    Why is this news? Some crackpot spouting his mouth off about something he knows absolutely nothing about is somehow news worthy? Nobody outside Nintendo even knows what the NX is! Even the name “NX” is just a code name.

    This is just silly.

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  • Fleetwood

    “Pachter” is a bum, I didn’t even bother reading the article once I noticed his name in the first sentence.

    That bum just throw “I believe” statements which are on the level of “so-so” predictions. Just a infamous ‘nobody,’ move on.

    • BooDallas

      Nobody advertises anymore…. why?

      I know for alot of things it doesn’t work because you know the product.

      …but people who aren’t computer junkies don’t even know about these systems coming out.

      Nintendo is known for thinking OUTSIDE the box…

      ….not copying and competing with other systems because they are something different and new on their very own.

      They have proven this by not putting all of their attention on graphics & power when it’s not even needed but yet putting their attention on the games & fun itself …which is what matter when it comes down to it.

      Nintendo needs to do what the other guys aren’t doing… which is what they are awesome at…

      Advertise & come out with a WIDE variety of awesome games and fun….

      The games you loved as a kid, being able to download those.

      At the same time new versions of Mario & DK & all those old lovable characters… not just spit them out however but actually put thought on the fun of the game which Nintendo is good at.

      Then they need to come out with games like first person shooter’s & put just a little bit of focus on storyline games so that they would have it all…

      Everything for every kind of gamer…

      Which means this system covers everything!!!
      …. where the other guys system would not
      …..because only Nintendo has Mario & those fun concept games we all know and love

      After that…

      with a strong brand new Nintendo system, the brand that everybody remebers and loves. If the system is something new, fresh & alot of fun….

      They just need to advertise.

      Run commercials for the actual system 7 months before it comes out….
      Sony and Microsoft won’t have anything coming out…. I

      It would build up major anticipation for kids and even adults…

      and word will get around.

      It will get kids, it will also get those who love Nintendo but forgot in their busy lives but want a gaming console but can’t get into Sony and microsoft… the gamers will follow the trend after that.

    • Johnny LoveFive

      he’s right about 10% of the time too!

  • Dotcum22

    I won’t be getting one I am sure of that

  • Anjospot

    When can we see him out of business ? He need to go away. We are tired of him!

    • Johnny LoveFive

      Agreed, he’s the most quoted incorrect analyst I’ve EVER seen!

  • Donovan Tull

    Yeah, because everyone respects his opinion……

  • Donovan Tull

    All they need is some decent advertising. Their marketing is atrocious. That’s what dragged Wii U sales so low. The actual console Wii U is terrific, best this gen by some substantial distance, but people buy a console because they know about it.

  • youallspeakgarbage

    I honestly think the nx if it is what they are saying has the potential to be huge. Uniting portable and home console? I remember some nintendo bit where they were saying it will talk with all devices, pc, your New3ds, Wii u, phone etc. If it goes right and these industry leading chips are true… I think the we are going to see huge numbers if it it’s truly a portable/home console fusion. I am so excited for E3 I don’t think they are going to announce it UNTIL then. They did this last E3 very poorly only to come back with absolute madness next time… These are only opinions, but I do have high hopes.

  • Randall Tolentino

    I’m interested in the nintendo NX console but I don’t like the nintendo wii u with games being delayed months than overpriced system.I would like to see nintendo nx launch fall 2016 or 2017


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