Fallout 4: Will it Succeed if it Releases Next Gen Only?

There is a prevailing belief that Bethesda Softworks’ Fallout 4 will be coming to next gen consoles, namely the PS4 and Xbox One, along with arriving on PC. There is also a belief that it will be exclusive to the same, spurred by rumours during last year’s E3 that it would be arriving only for the Xbox One. At least we know the game exists, thanks to a leaked casting call.

But if Fallout 4 did release on next gen consoles alone, would it be successful? Given the current installation base, with more than 4.2 million PS4s and 3 million Xbox One consoles at last count (which was January), would it be enough to ensure a strong return? Remember that Grand Theft Auto 5 managed to sell 32.5 million units as of February but relied on a very strong install base for the PS3 and Xbox 360. It’s obvious that Bethesda would want – and need – that kind of success for Fallout 4 if it came to next gen consoles alone.

That means either it would hit current gen platforms as well (if it released soon) or arrive after two years when the install base of both the PS4 and Xbox One have surpassed 15 million units each. What are your thoughts on Fallout 4 being exclusive to next gen? Let us know below.