Also predicts that the PS5 and Xbox successor may be coming within the next 2-3 years.
The PS4 Pro, while a rather capable machine, pales next to the allegedly monstrous specs that Microsoft is looking into packing into the Xbox One Scorpio- and with a large part of Sony’s success this generation coming from the PS4 being the most powerful system, and the best place to play mutiplatform titles, this could actually potentially serve as a threat to them.
So, is there a possibility that Sony releases a new, upgraded PS4 Pro to take on the Scorpio? That was the question that Michael Pachter was recently asked on his show, and that was the possibility that he shot down, citing the fact that the Scorpio will ultimately just be a prettier Xbox One, like the PS4 Pro is to the PS4- Sony probably doesn’t see a need to counter it as it would with an actual new console.
‘I don’t [see that happening],’ Pachter said. ‘I think Scorpio will have same rules as PS4 Pro- every game made for PS4 Pro has to be fully compatible with PS4. Similarly, every game on Scorpio will have to be backward compatible on Xbox One. So what I think that means is that games will have to run at, say, 1080p and 60fps, but can be upgraded to 4k and 240fps or whatever it will be. But the game will have both on the disc, the hardware will know what file to play, so the Xbox One or PS4 looks for the standard file, while the Pro or Scorpio will pick up the better, faster content. I think that’s what you’ll see, I don’t think that’s a problem, and I think that very few games will support Xbox One Scorpio at launch- the games that support PS4 Pro will definitely support Scorpio, and they may not even run at 4K.
‘So games will run better, but they will be backward compatible- Microsoft is not replacing the Xbox One- they are upgrading it. So no, Sony will not come up with more hardware in 2018. You may get a PS5 in 2019 or maybe 2020, and an Xbox Two in 2020, and we will continue to get new consoles every three years, and their software will be compatible with the system released right before it. I think that’s going to be the pattern.’
Is this something you necessarily agree with? I think Pachter is definitely largely on the right track this time- I do think that the Scorpio was made with the right mentality and understanding, but it comes too late in the generation to unseat the niche that the PS4 has thoroughly managed to carve for itself. Will it be successful? I am sure it will be. But I don’t see it dethroning the PS4 proper at all, which means Sony probably doesn’t see any reason to respond with new hardware of its own- for now.